There’s been a lot of talk of potential development along the Southeast coast over the next week or so. While the pattern is OK for development, the operations models seem wishy washy over the who things. The GFS had something there may runs back as did the ECMWF.

The way I see it. The area off North Carolina may see a storm develop, not a tropical storm, but just a storm that comes out of a system coming off the U.S. coast. That storm if ti does develop heads northeast out to sea.

After, we are left with an old front hanging up along the Southeast coast. There is a fairly decent high bridging over the front which will help to add spin thus the potential is there for a small low to develop late this week or the weekend. If it does, the track would take it into the northern Gulf of Mexico. Right now I am not sure of intensity or anything like that, not even sure if anything develops. It’s something to watch and see what happens for now.

My Best Guess on Development