A storm coming out of the Rockies will meet up with late season heat and humidity which will be the fuel for a severe weather outbreak late today through tonight. The danger in this outbreak is the potential for tornadoes overnight tonight.
The timing of the storm is such that thunderstorms will be late to fire-up which means the worse of the storms will happen during the overnight hours.
The Storm Prediction Center is outlining an area around western Arkansas as the highest risk for tornado activity. I don’t disagree with the forecast since this overall storms look very nasty.
The helicity tracks show the where rotation may occur with the storms. Notice the tracks over Oklahoma and Arkansas.
I hate this type of severe weather events prior to the holiday because the potential for damage to homes is great and can just ruin the holidays for many.