NHC has finally put out an area to watch for development this morning. While it maybe named as a subtropical system, the impacts for the Mid-Atlantic to New England will be the following….
- High winds, 20-40kts sustained with gusts 30-50kts.
- High seas and high swells
- Coastal flooding with beach erosion
- Heavy rains, mainly for coastal New England
The operational models seem to be in agreement with the track of the storm coming north and intensifying then looping near the coast before being pushed out to sea by the blizzard in the Upper Midwest. I don’t think the storm will come back all the way to the coast because of that storm in the Midwest.
So will it be named or not? I am guessing they will name it a subtropical system with an outside chance they upgrade it to the tropical storm.
Keep in mind, this is part of the pattern of the NAO on the negative side which means a storm should form. Links for the NAO and PNA are below.
- Weather Madness™
- Air Quality Index
- Arctic Oscillation (AO)
- Big Daddy Snowstorm Index
- Current Surface Map
- Excessive Rainfall Maps
- GFS Ensemble Spaghetti Maps
- Hazard Maps
- Heat Index Chart
- Heat Index Maps
- Hurricane Michael Track and Intensity
- Live Streaming
- Long Range 6-10 Day Outlooks
- Long Range 90 Day Outlook
- Long Range Monthly Outlook
- Madden/Julian Ocsillation (MJO)
- North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)
- Pacific/North American Pattern (PNA)
- QPF Maps
- Regional Radar
- Satellite Images
- Seasonal Forecasts
- Severe Weather Maps
- Site Map
- U.S. Drought Monitor
- Upper Air Maps
- Weather Consultation Services
- Weather Forecasting, Rules and Techniques