Severe Weather Possible for the South into Ohio Valley

A vigorous trough coming into the East and the associated cold front will trigger the potential for an outbreak of severe weather. As you can see below, the trough will move into the threat area Monday and will almost go negative tilt. Diffluent aloft will lead to considerable upward motion along and ahead of the front. Model soundings are show winds turning with height which means supercell thunderstorms with rotation. Now that does not mean tornadoes it could mean rotation supporting large hail and damaging winds. Dew points are expected to be in the 60s which is ample fuel for thunderstorms. This is the time of the year when we enter the second severe weather season.

Also on the map above, notice the position of the tropical system. Gales may once again occur across New England as that system moves through.

 

model2

 

 

Posted by

Expert Meteorologist with over 30 years of weather forecasting and blogging.

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