The warm sector of Zeta will contain strong winds all the way from the Gulf Coast to the Mid-Atlantic. Zeta will come in as a Cat 1 hurricane with gusts over 60 mph. We should see the winds tamper down heading into Georgia but with the forward speed of Zeta about 50 mph, I don’t think we will see the high winds really unwinding all that fast so that means wind gusts over 40 mph all the way to The Delmarva.

Looks like dry air has been drawn into ZETA keeping Zeta at tropical storm status. I expect that Zeta will increase again overnight but probably will not become a CAT 2 only a Cat 1 due the cool pool of water out ahead of Zeta. Still a nasty storm with damaging winds and flooding rains when the storm comes inland.

I really didn’t make any major changes with the snow map this afternoon. I am still using the ECMWF and ICON models as guidance with some GFS mixed in. Seems the models are pretty much in agreement on the area of snow across NY, northern Tier of PA into New England. Higher elevations will see the most snow with up to 6 inches, perhaps 8 inches if it really comes down hard at 1-2 inches of snow per hour. This will be a heavy wet snow with possible power outages.

Just for fun this morning I wanted to post the various models showing the snowfall for the Northeast snow Thursday night into Friday. I will be updating my snow map after lunch but it seems what I have seems pretty good based on the various models this morning. It does appear the New York and New England will take the brunt of the snow with the northern tier of PA into the PA Appalachians have some wet snow too.