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	<title>| rblessing15 | Favorites</title>
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				<title>This is interesting...&#x1f914;</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/38426/</link>
				<pubDate>Fri, 06 Mar 2026 13:29:19 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>This is interesting&#8230;&#x1f914;</p>
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				<title>You were all over this storm Henry. Good work.</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/37862/</link>
				<pubDate>Sun, 22 Feb 2026 00:49:45 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>You were all over this storm Henry. Good work.</p>
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				<title>Anyone else notice the double lows on the GFS? looks like its feeding back and in my opinion that&#039;s a real problem for the final track.</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/36587/</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2026 10:48:28 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>Anyone else notice the double lows on the GFS? looks like its feeding back and in my opinion that&#8217;s a real problem for the final track.</p>
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				<title>And one more thing maybe during one of weather and a beer in 1987 there was a storm in Virginia the morning of they said a dusting was possible well through the day they kept updating the totals by the end of the storm we had 18 inches the question is what caused that you don&#039;t have to go out of your way now but maybe bring up next time we all get together a little homework lol and I really enjoyed listening again tonight I listened to you and Joe b back in the early 90s it really got me interested in the weather listening to you two taught me alot about how the weather works thanks and have a blessed night see you in the morning</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/36576/</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2026 01:42:18 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>And one more thing maybe during one of weather and a beer in 1987 there was a storm in Virginia the morning of they said a dusting was possible well through the day they kept updating the totals by the end of the storm we had 18 inches the question is what caused that you don&#8217;t have to go out of your way now but maybe bring up next time we all get&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-36576"><a target="_blank" href="https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/36576/" rel="nofollow ugc">Read More</a></span></p>
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				<title>It was 17-20” up here on our hill Had to shovel a path for the dogs on the deck. It snowed another inch yesterday too &#x1f605;</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/36571/</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2026 01:29:50 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>It was 17-20” up here on our hill Had to shovel a path for the dogs on the deck. It snowed another inch yesterday too &#x1f605;  </p>
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				<title>This storm appears to be MY storm in NC!  Y&#039;all to the west may miss out.  Will be interesting to hear from Henry his thoughts on Wednesday night.</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/36487/</link>
				<pubDate>Wed, 28 Jan 2026 00:31:00 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>This storm appears to be MY storm in NC!  Y&#8217;all to the west may miss out.  Will be interesting to hear from Henry his thoughts on Wednesday night.  </p>
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				<title>Need northern energy to get a neg tilt and bend it like Beckham</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/36436/</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 27 Jan 2026 16:39:57 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>Need northern energy to get a neg tilt and bend it like Beckham</p>
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				<title>·
&#x1f6a8;Record Setting SOI Drop&#x1f6a8;
&#x26a0;&#xfe0f;Big Winter Storm Signal&#x26a0;&#xfe0f;

The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is a key indicator of the strength and phase of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Sustained strongly positive SOI values (typically 30-day average &#062; +7 or +8) are associated with La Niña conditions, and sustained strongly negative values with El Niño.

This graph shows a very sharp collapse of the SOI from strongly positive (La Niña-like) values around +18 in mid-to-late November 2025 down to slightly positive or near-neutral values by early December 2025.

According to Grok A.I. “This is one of the fastest SOI drops on record.”

After a sudden SOI plunge of this magnitude and speed, the most common lag time to the first big Eastern U.S. winter storm or polar vortex disruption-driven cold wave is about 2–3 weeks, with a broader 10–35-day window of elevated risk.

So for the drop shown in this image (finalized ~5 Dec 2025), the highest winter storm threat in the Eastern US is roughly December 18 – January 10, peaking late December to very early January 2026. So Christmas could be extremely Wintery this year!
~Meteorologist Mark Margavage</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/33554/</link>
				<pubDate>Fri, 05 Dec 2025 17:45:08 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>·<br />
&#x1f6a8;Record Setting SOI Drop&#x1f6a8;<br />
&#x26a0;&#xfe0f;Big Winter Storm Signal&#x26a0;&#xfe0f;</p>
<p>The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is a key indicator of the strength and phase of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Sustained strongly positive SOI values (typically 30-day average &gt; +7 or +8) are associated with La Niña conditions, and sustained strongly negative values with&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-33554"><a target="_blank" href="https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/33554/" rel="nofollow ugc">Read More</a></span></p>
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				<title>On Mount Washington, this afternoon they are having sustained wind between 115 mph and 135 mph with frequent gusts into the 140s.</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/29201/</link>
				<pubDate>Mon, 17 Feb 2025 20:24:58 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>On Mount Washington, this afternoon they are having sustained wind between 115 mph and 135 mph with frequent gusts into the 140s.</p>
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				<title>Model output today</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/28514/</link>
				<pubDate>Sat, 08 Feb 2025 18:15:04 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>Model output today</p>
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				<title>What’s the call for the Balt-Washington area?</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/26466/</link>
				<pubDate>Sun, 05 Jan 2025 04:34:16 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>What’s the call for the Balt-Washington area?</p>
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				<guid isPermaLink="false">195a5f87104674dc96a2a9d2364a5fe8</guid>
				<title>Need a 1030-1040 high over Eastern Hudson Bay to keep feeding a N/NE wind as the Low reaches the warmer ocean. Maybe a surprise spin up? We can hope.</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/26390/</link>
				<pubDate>Sat, 04 Jan 2025 16:40:49 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>Need a 1030-1040 high over Eastern Hudson Bay to keep feeding a N/NE wind as the Low reaches the warmer ocean. Maybe a surprise spin up? We can hope.</p>
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				<title>Merry Christmas Weathermadness family!  God’s Blessings!!!</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/25707/</link>
				<pubDate>Wed, 25 Dec 2024 12:49:58 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>Merry Christmas Weathermadness family!  God’s Blessings!!!</p>
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				<title>6&quot; this morning in NEPA, Northern Wayne county</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/23985/</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 28 Nov 2024 16:15:08 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>6&#8243; this morning in NEPA, Northern Wayne county</p>
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				<title>The government forecasting has been quite suspect the last few years.  Inaccurate and at times inflated. Just like with Helene. A bit too much hype and hysteria that confuses the average citizen. I can only speculate ulterior motives.</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/21350/</link>
				<pubDate>Fri, 27 Sep 2024 16:28:12 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>The government forecasting has been quite suspect the last few years.  Inaccurate and at times inflated. Just like with Helene. A bit too much hype and hysteria that confuses the average citizen. I can only speculate ulterior motives.</p>
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				<title>Pretty sure I caught meteor or space debris this morning around 5 am in WV this was taken in the eastern sky while I was driving.</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/19793/</link>
				<pubDate>Wed, 03 Jul 2024 11:06:04 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>Pretty sure I caught meteor or space debris this morning around 5 am in WV this was taken in the eastern sky while I was driving.</p>
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				<title>Thanks for sharing. Still snowing here 30 degrees. It hit 80 earlier in the week. lol.</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/18882/</link>
				<pubDate>Sat, 20 Apr 2024 14:11:43 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>Thanks for sharing. Still snowing here 30 degrees. It hit 80 earlier in the week. lol. </p>
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				<title>Starting to get the photos off the camera</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/18745/</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 09 Apr 2024 14:41:13 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>Starting to get the photos off the camera</p>
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				<title>https://twitter.com/MikeTFox5/status/1764792081053065423</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/17973/</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 05 Mar 2024 02:51:18 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="550" data-dnt="true">
<p lang="en" dir="ltr">Do you trust AI?</p>
<p>FourCastNet&#8230;short for Fourier Forecasting Neural Network&#8230;uses machine learning to predict atmospheric dynamics and produce a weather forecast.</p>
<p>It&#39;s predicting a MAJOR -NAO block and subsequent cold outbreak in the east in Mid-March.</p>
<p>Let&#39;s see how it does! <a target="_blank" href="https://t.co/daAY6IBTUV" rel="nofollow ugc">pic.twitter.com/daAY6IBTUV</a></p>
<p>&mdash; Mike Thomas (@MikeTFox5) <a target="_blank" href="https://twitter.com/MikeTFox5/status/1764792081053065423?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow ugc">March 4, 2024</a></p></blockquote>
<p><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></p>
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				<title>I not leaving. Henry does great job in summer as well. In my opinion for time and work he puts in deserves full year of money.</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/17966/</link>
				<pubDate>Mon, 04 Mar 2024 22:51:55 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>I not leaving. Henry does great job in summer as well. In my opinion for time and work he puts in deserves full year of money.</p>
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				<title>and another one for the end of March....hmmmmmm</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/17714/</link>
				<pubDate>Wed, 28 Feb 2024 22:13:17 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>and another one for the end of March&#8230;.hmmmmmm</p>
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				<title>Key Points
Global hurricane counts and Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) have significantly decreased since 1990 likely due to a trend toward La Niña

Short-lived named storms, extreme rapid intensification events (50+ kt day−1) and global damage have increased significantly from 1990 to 2021

Decreasing trend in global hurricanes and ACE is primarily driven by downturn in western North Pacific activity</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/17605/</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 27 Feb 2024 00:41:54 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>Key Points<br />
Global hurricane counts and Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) have significantly decreased since 1990 likely due to a trend toward La Niña</p>
<p>Short-lived named storms, extreme rapid intensification events (50+ kt day−1) and global damage have increased significantly from 1990 to 2021</p>
<p>Decreasing trend in global hurricanes and ACE is&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-17605"><a target="_blank" href="https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/17605/" rel="nofollow ugc">Read More</a></span></p>
</div><div class="youzify-post-attachments">
		<a class="youzify-wall-link-content" rel="nofollow" href="https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2021GL095774" target="_blank">
						<div class="youzify-wall-link-data">
				<div class="youzify-wall-link-title">Trends in Global Tropical Cyclone Activity: 1990–2021</div>
				<div class="youzify-wall-link-desc">Trends in Global Tropical Cyclone Activity: 1990–2021 regarding ACE</div>
				<div class="youzify-wall-link-url">https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2021GL095774</div>
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				<guid isPermaLink="false">91166b8dd558d330cc2f4d25d93b8f07</guid>
				<title>This past week starting with Tuesday the worst forecasting ever across the board. Obviously there is something wrong with the tools at hand.</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/17136/</link>
				<pubDate>Sat, 17 Feb 2024 22:00:01 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>This past week starting with Tuesday the worst forecasting ever across the board. Obviously there is something wrong with the tools at hand.</p>
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				<title>uh...okay????  GFS is now awake....</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/17026/</link>
				<pubDate>Fri, 16 Feb 2024 17:47:53 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>uh&#8230;okay????  GFS is now awake&#8230;.</p>
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				<title>But I do have to agree with Henry when he says these model are just bad.  I feel for any meteorologist having to rely on these models to make a living for themselves...they are such poor tools to have to rely on.</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/16360/</link>
				<pubDate>Fri, 09 Feb 2024 20:28:11 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>But I do have to agree with Henry when he says these model are just bad.  I feel for any meteorologist having to rely on these models to make a living for themselves&#8230;they are such poor tools to have to rely on. </p>
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				<title>I couldn’t pass-up creating an image off the “happier than a robin in a worm farm” comment today. Hoping the pattern pulls through for a few weeks in Mass!</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/16111/</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 06 Feb 2024 18:13:53 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>I couldn’t pass-up creating an image off the “happier than a robin in a worm farm” comment today. Hoping the pattern pulls through for a few weeks in Mass!</p>
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				<title></title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/15883/</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 01 Feb 2024 23:13:09 -0500</pubDate>

				
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				<title>Temperature inversion currently.  35 degrees here. 400&#039; higher the current temp is 51.</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/15375/</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 25 Jan 2024 10:54:44 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>Temperature inversion currently.  35 degrees here. 400&#8242; higher the current temp is 51.</p>
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				<title>Henry, Since you always take the heat and the blame from us when the storms don&#039;t show up in the Middle Atlantic,  we all owe you a word of thanks for your accurate forecast days ahead of many other services.....and for sending this storm our way!</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/15084/</link>
				<pubDate>Fri, 19 Jan 2024 21:56:31 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>Henry, Since you always take the heat and the blame from us when the storms don&#8217;t show up in the Middle Atlantic,  we all owe you a word of thanks for your accurate forecast days ahead of many other services&#8230;..and for sending this storm our way!</p>
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				<title>Not a BIG DADDY.....but definitely  an over-achiever here.</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/15072/</link>
				<pubDate>Fri, 19 Jan 2024 19:28:33 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>Not a BIG DADDY&#8230;..but definitely  an over-achiever here. </p>
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				<title>LOVE the 3 minutes of &quot;Henry Behind the Scenes&quot; at the beginning of today&#039;s video!</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/14537/</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jan 2024 15:34:40 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>LOVE the 3 minutes of &#8220;Henry Behind the Scenes&#8221; at the beginning of today&#8217;s video!</p>
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				<title>Had to share…this made laugh out loud…</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/14295/</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 09 Jan 2024 03:36:31 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>Had to share…this made laugh out loud…</p>
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				<title>Well I guess no snow for Virginia this year oh wait we did have a little bit on grass for about 1 hour maybe next year what shitty winter for me</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/7123/</link>
				<pubDate>Sun, 19 Mar 2023 18:02:52 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>Well I guess no snow for Virginia this year oh wait we did have a little bit on grass for about 1 hour maybe next year what shitty winter for me</p>
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				<title>9:15 and 31.5. Freezing rain continues. Icing up here!</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/1821/</link>
				<pubDate>Mon, 17 Jan 2022 02:14:02 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>9:15 and 31.5. Freezing rain continues. Icing up here!</p>
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