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	<title>“Breaking Down the Madness in Every Storm.” | Shultzd16646 | Activity</title>
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				<title>Dr Judah Cohen post on Tritter 2 days ago:  &quot;Lots of hype about the  #PolarVortex but is it deserved? Our AI subseasonal model, which I can credibly claim as world&#039;s best is predicting that the most expansive region of most likely extreme  #cold on earth stretches from the Canadian Plains to the US East Coast 3rd week of Dec.&quot;
9:56 AM · Nov 23, 2025
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59.3K
 Views</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/33194/</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 25 Nov 2025 11:57:52 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>Dr Judah Cohen post on Tritter 2 days ago:  &#8220;Lots of hype about the  <a href="https://weathermadness.com/activity/?s=%23PolarVortex" class="youzify-hashtag" target="_self" rel="nofollow ugc">#PolarVortex</a> but is it deserved? Our AI subseasonal model, which I can credibly claim as world&#8217;s best is predicting that the most expansive region of most likely extreme  <a href="https://weathermadness.com/activity/?s=%23cold" class="youzify-hashtag" target="_self" rel="nofollow ugc">#cold</a> on earth stretches from the Canadian Plains to the US East Coast 3rd week of Dec.&#8221;<br />
9:56 AM · Nov 23,&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-33194"><a target="_blank" href="https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/33194/" rel="nofollow ugc">Read More</a></span></p>
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				<title>From Dr. Judah Cohen&#039;s November 10 blog:  The ECMWF (at least from yesterday) was predicting the best chance of an SSW is the last week to five days of November. There are no observed SSWs in the satellite era in November, and you have to go back to 1968 and 1958 to find one the reanalysis datasets and I personally try not to use any pre-satellite data in analysis of the polar stratosphere. The most recent SSWs even in early December were 1981 and 1987. To highlight how anomalous an SSW in November would be I include the forecast from the NASA model in Figure v. To compound the confusion these events are not labeled by the changes in the zonal wind but rather by the dramatic warming that accompanies these events. I didn’t include it, but the temperature forecast for the polar stratosphere from the same model would leave you asking what warming? For much of the two weeks temperatures are predicted to be colder than average! So not sure how to square that circle.</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/32918/</link>
				<pubDate>Fri, 14 Nov 2025 02:03:59 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>From Dr. Judah Cohen&#8217;s November 10 blog:  The ECMWF (at least from yesterday) was predicting the best chance of an SSW is the last week to five days of November. There are no observed SSWs in the satellite era in November, and you have to go back to 1968 and 1958 to find one the reanalysis datasets and I personally try not to use any pre-satellite&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-32918"><a target="_blank" href="https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/32918/" rel="nofollow ugc">Read More</a></span></p>
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				<title>.5 inches of snow and 23 degrees</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/32869/</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2025 13:28:34 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>.5 inches of snow and 23 degrees</p>
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				<title>45 degrees in Hastings, PA this morning--sure feels like fall.</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/31686/</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 28 Aug 2025 10:21:15 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>45 degrees in Hastings, PA this morning&#8211;sure feels like fall.</p>
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				<title>45 degrees in Hastings, PA (far northern Cambria County)</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/31673/</link>
				<pubDate>Wed, 27 Aug 2025 10:26:43 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>45 degrees in Hastings, PA (far northern Cambria County)</p>
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				<title>could not get in</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/27287/</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 16 Jan 2025 00:24:24 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>could not get in</p>
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				<title>Has anyone actually seen the daily predictions from Graph Cast?  Graph Cast is an A! weather model developed by Google.  Have read that it consistently out performs the ECMWF 10 day forecasts.</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/12543/</link>
				<pubDate>Mon, 18 Dec 2023 11:30:19 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>Has anyone actually seen the daily predictions from Graph Cast?  Graph Cast is an A! weather model developed by Google.  Have read that it consistently out performs the ECMWF 10 day forecasts.   </p>
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				<title>Any of  you guys remember the Noreaster  of November 11 and 12 of 1968?</title>
				<link>https://weathermadness.com/activity/p/10131/</link>
				<pubDate>Fri, 10 Nov 2023 15:57:08 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="activity-inner"><p>Any of  you guys remember the Noreaster  of November 11 and 12 of 1968?</p>
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