Snowman55
For some reason the weekend storm looks more formidable on the Canadian 12z model then the GFS..and a bit further north then the GFS 12z
JB is saying a warm is coming, but all of euro products can’t be wrong in the 6-13 day forecast
And then there’s this…by March 1st…but again it is the 18z…lol!!!
A bridge too far.
One day one of these crazy runs will verify, not likely in my lifetime, but one day…
Oh for hevens sake..
Snow maps more than a few days out should be outlawed.
GFS are always hilarious.
I’m going what the GFS and CFS is saying…I think winter has delt is best blow for the Mid Atlantic, just cold rain from here on out for the most part with a few icy spots, but I think the snow show is basically over for the Mid Atlantic
Snow show? How about snow no show for Hagerstown with 9 inches all winter. And I don’t base my life on what other people think. I base it on what God says.
Ill second that bro, he said a a few weeks ago there will never be another major east coast blizzard that those days are over forever..unreal lol this guy
Lol!!! And now you guys are just getting it? You can’t be that’s slow…if it looks like the storm isn’t coming you out out bad vibes and guess what? The storm comes and it shows up big time. Been doing this since I was a kid works most of the time but …not all of the time. I say it won’t snow anymore this winter ….now watch what happens…the…Read More
I get it. You just want to stir up the natives.
Lol
The weekend storm will be a big nothing burger…probably won’t see anymore storms until late in the month or mid March…if then…personally I think we are done for the season…
I’m thinking…maybe the Valentine’s storm will come back?….not sure about this one at all
It could still pretty far out.
just a dusting
Welp! It would appear that all of the models have abandoned the Valentines day storm for next weekend…at least for now
The operational run have, but ensembles and AI have not
I hope it snows knee deep to a 50 foot Indian.
Its Not a surprise, All models and snow maps more than a few days out are subject to change big time. Even a few days out they change a little. But have to give them credit on last weekend storm. Some of them had it away from the coast 4-5 days out. Some had it skirting the I95 area.
Doubt if this will be on the maps on the 12z…we shall see
About the time the WPO is forecast to return to negative and lasting into March.
We shall see, it’s already gone from the 12z but that’s not a true model run anyway. We shall see on the 18z
Excuse me but it is the 06Z and the 18Z runs of the GFS that are initiated without a full load of up to- date data. Not that the GFS is reliable on any run but the 12z and 00z do have a complete load of new data anyway.
16 days out and its the GFS. But I wouldn’t be surprise we see snow storm before March.
The SOI value is why the models are now running warm and the tele-connections are flipping warm now.
Watch how fast the indicies start to flip because of the SOI values and the models start showing less and less snow and more cold rain
models are struggling with PV split just like in december
I dont’ see any more BIG daddy storms on the way for now, just some clippers that may try to bomb out but other than that pretty quiet
I think it’s just going to just be cold and quiet weather wise once this so called over hyped storm passes through
@weathermadness based on your map this morning this thing stays south of PA altogether right? More of a WV, VA, NC storm and then out to sea for the most part…right? If so good cause I want no part of something like this and of this magnitude. So if PA can sit this one out it would be great and would mean the latest 0z CFS is way wrong
Amen brother
@patriotsfan you said I’m so negative because I think this could be a nothing on some of the models, I’m sorry but people being without power for days, and property being damaged as well as loss of life on some occasions doesn’t inspire positive emotions in me, if it does for you, well you may need to check yourself…just saying..I love snow but…Read More
Looking better for me, there was enough misery this week. Hopefully it misses the whole country.
New 12z CFS says “never mind on the east coast blizzard” heading eastward now
Got it
Euro keeps moving a little east. The CFS just went East, Canadian models pretty much the same. GFS is a freaking joke so who cares what it shows. But its similar to the Canadian models. ICON is OTS. UKMET is OTC. NWS Blends is similar to the Canadians.
Ai control has made a big move west. Enjoy your dance with the model runs. I am counting on a Mid-Atlantic snowstorm.
Remember every now and then the gfs scores a coup
But yesterday you said this model was basically worthless when it disagreed with the others.
The CFS is now the only model with a storm actually impacting the Mid-Atlantic and north eastern seaboard. Unfortunately it’s the CFS, every other models is kicking this out to sea for the most part. If the CFS is right this blizzard would make the last storm look like a Hallmark movie snow
The trend in all model guidance is a northwest tick every run. The ensembles are showing that ad well
Yes, that is the trend.. the trend is your friend
CMC 0Z run heading out to sea a bit with its jog to the east now. 0Z GFS same issue with the weekend storm way far north and east progression, Euro 18z slight jog north and east and then out to sea…the CFS 12z is the only mode I could find with the weekend storm still hitting the mid Atlantic. I say things will quiet down besides the brutal cold…Read More
Round 2 next Saturday?