Nor’ Easter to Hit New England. Flooding Rains, Winds to 60 mph, Coastal Flooding!

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Meteorologist Henry Margusity from WeatherMadness.com 2 Comment

 

 

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Major East Coast Storm with Tropical Connections Possible Next Week!

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Meteorologist Henry Margusity from WeatherMadness.com 1 Comment

The NAO (blocking pattern) is going to tank again while the PNA is going positive. Both of naopna

these would lead one to believe that a major East Coast storm is possible this week, one that could end up producing wind and rain from New England to The Dalmarva. There is an outside chance the storm backs in from the East and parts of eastern New England and Cape Code get into near tropical storm force winds.

This is all part of the weather pattern that I have been excited about now for the last almost two weeks. It is also one that with the SOI values tanked to La Nina, November could be a wild one with snow across the Northeast. While we have snow hitting the northern Rockies now and a major snow event for the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest, all that can quickly change and shift into the Northeast as cold takes hold.

As I mentioned in the Video this morning, parts a heavy snow event and severe weather may occur prior to our East coast storm hits.

Below are the various morning operational runs showing the storm snuggled into the Northeast coastal areas by late in the week.

The CMC is the most aggressive of the models, backing the storm all the way to Cape Cod.

CMC Model

CMC Model

Other Models

GFS Model
GEM model
Icon Model

 

GFS Catching on to the NAO Pattern with Storm Along the East Coast!

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Meteorologist Henry Margusity from WeatherMadness.com 0 Comment

I’ve been talking about it all week that with the NAO crashing and PNA going positive we should see a storm along the East coast. Makes sense right? Yes it does.

 

NAO Index
PNA Index

 

It also goes against many forecasts that were going for a heatwave that is now being replaced by rainy and cooler weather. What remains to seen, we it be cold enough in the trough to have some wet snow, especially over the higher elevations of the Northeast. Models seem to be going back and forth on snow so we will have to see how it pans out over the next week or so.

 

GFS Model Trend

GFS Model Trend

 

Evolution on the GFS Model of the Storm

Evolution on the GFS Model of the Storm