Weather Madness
Blog
Henry Margusity on the storms, patterns, and forecasts behind the madness. Subscribers read every post two days before it lands here.
Snowfall Yesterday and Cold Weather Today…Nice Start to April!
The late season cold weather lead to snow and snow showers across the Northeast and Appalachians Thursday. From an operational computer model perspective, the area of snow was correct but the amount of snow was overdone on all the models. It seemed the NAM model did catch on to the lack of snow yesterday morning […]
Flooding and Heavy Storms Tennessee Valley to the Carolina’s
A cold front coming through the Tennessee Valley into the Carolina’s will produce heavy rains across the Tennessee Valley tonight into Wednesday morning followed by heavy thunderstorms across the Carolina’s Wednesday. The rains will produce flooding again across the Tennessee Valley tonight, especially in areas that were hit by flooding this weekend. The storms in […]
Flooding Rains May Return to the Tennessee Valley
After having very heavy rains and flooding this weekend, the Tennessee Valley could be hit again with another round of heavy rains Wednesday. Heavy thunderstorms are expected to develop ahead of a cold front and with the storms training over the same area again, this could lead to locally 1-4 inches of rain. Areas of […]
Thunderstorms with Damaging Winds Sunday
After the severe weather event in the Tennessee Valley and Mississippi Valley Saturday the line of storms will continue to move east and impact the Mid-Atlantic and Carolina’s Sunday. The storms will most likely remain a solid line that will move through these areas with a burst of damaging wind gusts to 65 mph and […]
Large Tornadoes Possible Thursday
SPC did upgrade the severe weather area to a moderate risk and is considering upgrading to a HIGH Risk by Thursday morning. While the dynamics are stronger with this system compared to last week, the deciding factors will be the extent of the showers and cloud cover which could limit the instability. In any case, […]
Dangerous Severe Weather Thursday. Over 25 Tornadoes Possible This Time!
Another outbreak of severe weather and possible tornadoes will occur late Wednesday through Thursday night. This time compared to the last event are the strengths of the jets at 250 mb and at 850 mb. We have a stronger low level jet and a stronger jet at 250 mb which will have to create stronger […]
Severe Storms, Maybe a Tornado and Large Hail Today and Tuesday
The storm coming out of the Rockies that produced the snows in Denver and Boulder may kick off severe weather across Texas and southern Oklahoma today and into Louisiana Tuesday. The HRRR shows very strong rotation tracks which may indicate large hail and or even a tornado. The dew points are currently in the 50s […]
High Risk of Severe Weather Today, Moderate Thursday…Major Outbreak Possible with 25-50 Tornadoes, Maybe More!
The Storm Prediction Center made an anticipated change in the forecast by upgrading to a HIGH RISK for severe weather including large, damaging tornadoes. Very few HIGH RISKS are issued each year and only issue during special events like today. In addition, they upgraded the area in the Carolina’s to a Moderate Risk which is […]
Severe Storms and Potential 25-50 Tornadoes!
The outbreak of severe has the potential to produce 25-50 tornadoes over the next 3 days. The bulk of the tornadoes will occur across the South on Wednesday. While the jet aloft is not as strong as one would like to see, the shear or veering of the winds is very sharp which will lead […]