amanzi
There has to be more going on than just the PNA, NO and other values that are driving the weather pattern. They have all been in a great position for cold and snow and that is what Henry has banked on since late Sept. He was banking on snow and cold and a wild winter starting in Nov and then Dec and now some time in Jan. But the CPC forecast is not showing any of that pattern showing up. Clearly the arctic is warming so rapidly that the winters just keep getting warmer and warmer. This year most of the nation Oct-Dec have average far above the 4 degree increase vs historical averages over the past 40 years. If nothing changes, this year will be a historically warm winter. One month of meteorological winter will be gone by the time we get to January 5th. Historically, the coldest days on average occurs before the 15th of January. After that date, the highs and lows start increasing. I am a snow lover. I live on the front range just outside of Boulder. Dec will average 6-8 degrees above average with less than 3 inches of snow. My point is the the indices have all been indicating that we would see arctic cold and lots of snow. However the opposite has been the reality. Is it a weak El Niño that is overpowering the indicies r
if we get NO snow in the month of January I think it may be safe to call this winter a big nothing burger…just saying
A weak El Niño is a death kiss to a winter on the east coast because of what it’s doing right now it’s sending warm and a ridge up he coast and everything that comes is rain…Simply put the SOI needs to drop seriously negative and stay negative for our winter to even have a chance if not….we might as well be in a La Niña and we all know what type of winter that brings