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NepaSnow
Euro ens
If this were to happen we would have a robust – Nao and extended cold well into march
Post
Credit to: @Superchri90 · The last split similar to this was 40 years ago, in the famous winter of January 1985! Where a strong W2 pattern led to a PV split on December 30, 1984 with almost immediate effects bringing very cold and a lot of snow to Europe, but also to the USA! Very rare events!
Well Hello there
still several members of the EPS with a low off Delmarva for this upcoming storm
Nam bumped south, lets keep it going
18Z GFS going to the Miller B transfer, I expect more changes to come
It may come sooner than you think since the 18Z runs are usually much different than either the 12Z run was or the 00Z run will be.
sure looks like a low pressure near delmarva to me for end of month
ContentWeatherGuy @ContentWxGuy We can see a reason to bank on a sliding low that has a forced redevelopment to the established secondary. HP keeps the cold in place & holds the low back so kickers can catch up. Ejection timing dictates tracking. An onset snow to ice to rain city/coast scenario? N&W hvy snow?
Looks like alot of Miller B’s in our near future with lows attacking High pressure on the GFS/CMC and euro ENS as well
So you are forecasting the NAO to stay positive in February?
From what have seen neutral to slightly positive with some dips. This PV stretching is what has me interested
Don’t look but things are a changing for end if month
Could open the door to more backdoor cold fronts in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.
EPS & GEFS ens day 4 has a coastal
Canadian says how about some ice & snow on the 1st
I still don’t think the models have the end of the moth figured out with this Rex block that is messing with the model output
I I have always liked the CMC in the longer terms because it seems to less jumping around than the others.
-3 This morning in Wayne county,pa 18453
From another weather forum i belong to and enjoy this members understanding of weather