Ridge axis in the Intermountain West looks a little bit east of Boise. I hope that is not a mitigating factor. …I’m hoping that even if the storm develops too far offshore, enough of an inverted trough hangs back for moderate snow. Moderate snow at night in late Feb. will accumulate, but have a harder time in the daytime.

Sorry I couldn’t make Weather and a Beer. I am in Boise visiting my daughter through next Wednesday!
It seems I will be home in time for the East Coast storm.

Henry: I always enjoy Weather and a Beer…looking forward to charting the sudden stratospheric warming for a cold December! I’ll lay low on the Giants talk next Wednesday, lol.

Happy birthday Henry! Enjoy the day with a nap and some free time!

Warm days, but with good overnight radiational cooling the last few nights. Now with some added moisture to that radiational cooling, we have had some dense ground fog Sunday might, Monday am.

Henry: I’m doing a “NYC baseball” next Wednesday, so I won’t be able to make Weather and a Beer. However, starting Sept. 10, it’s clear sailing. I enjoyed yesterday’s session, Henry!

April 16th, but very windy and chilly in the lower Hudson Valley. Phase 8 of the MJO coming: could that mean a reversal of the chill and an early-season heat wave sometime late April or May?

I think freeze is worst than a frost with higher dew points. Wow!

Save flight, Henry, back and forth from Arizona…

So much warmth in the early spring season is sun-driven: still low dew points. So the residual snow on the ground melts first where the sun shines. Also, any south wind where I live can still be chilly, especially when you get to south-facing points exposed to the water, like the battery in Manhattan.

As I said on the chat Wed pm, if you like summer thunderstorms, they usually materialize in the humid air and you get gutter-gushers… Yes, you have summer droughts. But unlike winer’s suppressed storms and precipitation that evaporates before reaching the ground in the winter, if you live east of the Mississippi or on the Gulf Coast, the rain…Read More

I won’t get on you, Henry, lol. I agree: that upper low looks as if it is hanging back well to the west of the surface low.

Great chat last night, Henry. Thank you, as always, for hosting and creating this.

Suffern had sleet and freezing rain on top of an inch of snow just before I left for Manhattan. It is raining now in Manhattan–no freezing rain–but interestingly, there was more of a front-end thump of snow than up in Suffern…more snow on the ground. No thunderstorms with the precipitation.

The Northeast is beginning to have an active pattern even before we get AO and NAO blocking. Precip activity along the northern tier look almost like August ring-of-fire right now, lol!

Progressive pattern with positive NAO and positive AO seems to mean a change every 10 hours!

You know that the whole country is so engulfed in such dry arctic cold that the baroclinic zone is south of Atlanta and most of Alabama, Mississippi and Louisiana during that historic gulf storm. Imagine snow failing to get to Atlanta!

Henry: Would you kindly send me a new link to Wednesday’s “Weather and a Beer?” I lost it☹️ -Herb
hfischerprof@gmail.com