NepaSnow
GFS should be scrapped for a new model, every 6 hours it puts out Trash!
One term presidents don’t feel pressure.
-5 this morning in NEPA Northern Wayne county just south of Bing,ny
· 🚨Record Setting SOI Drop🚨 ⚠️Big Winter Storm Signal⚠️
The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is a key indicator of the strength and phase of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Sustained strongly positive SOI values (typically 30-day average > +7 or +8) are associated with La Niña conditions, and sustained strongly negative values with…Read More
We need that negative SOI for those juicy southern energies to come a calling for the Mid-Atlantic.
After Dec 10, I think we are in for a good run of storms here in the Northeast /Northern Mid Atlantic
Basing this off the Euro ensemble package
Weir, Sounds like a good set up for some low density blower near the Canadian border!
-5 Below this morning in Northern Wayne County,pa this morning
6″ in Northern Wayne county,pa
BRRRRRRR!
This possibly could be because the model is anticipating snow on the ground at that time.
1. How a negative PDO affects eastern winters: 2. Temperatures: Expect warmer-than-average conditions in the southern and mid-Atlantic states, with potential for some colder outbreaks. 3. Storms: The trough over the eastern U.S. can create a breeding ground for coastal storms, especially with the potential for cold air to be dumped into the…Read More
NAO usually doesn’t take prominence over other indices until the last third of the winter in the east. (Weather BELL Analytics)
Fwiw
The latest ECMWF Weeklies update on the Atmospheric Angular Momentum: ( Steve D ) 1. Data support an increasingly negative phase of the AAM through December. 2. A negative phase of the AAM typically supports high latitude blocking over the Northern Hemisphere. 3. Negative phases of the EPO, AO, and NAO are far more likely. 4. Trend towards…Read More
hello phase 8
Lots of Greenland blocking all winter, according to Paul Roundy
