@Henry, you’re dissing Kyle’s model, but when we focus on the Jan 3-8 timeframe, all teleconnections fully supports the nor’easter. Looking out 30-90 days? Yea, no. His long range is no longer reliable.

Layer of mix on the deck this morning at 28 near IAD. This marks the fifth day this month with flurries. Recently rare in Northern Virginia. Hopefully foreshadowing a snowy January.

Amen, Henry. I love your line: “If you know a Cat 5 was caused by climate change, why did you not know it earlier and warn everyone”? paraphrasing here

Henry, my news feed posted this yesterday: “We could see a parade of storms developing during the month of September,” AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said in a news release. “There’s a possibility that we could see multiple tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic basin on the same day, similar to the frequency of storms tha…Read More

Get better soon, Henry!

What happened with the forecast track last night? Really awful on less than 12 hours out. Is the warm Atlantic playing a larger role than interpreted by the models? Anybody?

Bust in Ashburn No VA. At 4am it look awesome. Woke at 6 am, 33 degrees and all streets and sidewalks are just wet.

Upgraded to a warning. 4-6

Winter storm watch for 2-4 with up to 6 in some spots. IAD Ashburn

Winter weather advisory in western DC Suburbs. 2 inches. So what? Nothing burger.
Now my daughter calls us, schools are closed! Can you watch the grandkids?
Sure, but, really? Do they know something we don’t or is this our new world of pansies?

Check out this article. https://www.msn.com/en-us/travel/news/a-roaring-tailwind-just-hurled-a-passenger-plane-at-826-miles-per-hour/ar-BB1hjLNt

Pull quote “ A roaring Pacific jet stream, supercharged by the El Niño climate pattern and moving at more than 250 mph, gave the flight a boost.”

4.5″ again! 9″ for the week and still coming down. 29 degrees. Very fluffy easy to shovel. Ashburn VA near IAD