duckpinmaster
NOAA posting 40’s to low 50’all next week for Hagerstown. Possible rain on Jan 15 high about 40 according to NOAA.
Good luck with that.
Monday – Wednesday supposed to be 40’s here but then the cold comes back.
The current Jan 15th forecast (6 days out) for my area is H 31 L 22 with a snow shower and low clouds
12z GFS showing 20 inches of snow in New Orleans and zero snow for the mid-Atlantic in the extended.
CMC 12z shows a clipper system around Jan 15 giving the mid-Atlantic a minor dose of snow. Maybe 1-3?
Let me remind everyone that the last time the GFS at 06z showed a snowstorm for the mid-Atlantic, 6 hours later when a full load of new data had been loaded into the 12z, that storm completely disappeared from the radar never to reappear on any future run of that model. That was fact not fiction like this run most likely is.
According to NOAA’s posted temperatures for Hagerstown this evening, I am still looking at temperatures in the 6-10 of above average and we have had only 2 inches of snow so far. Posted temperatures next week in the 45-50 range.
NOAA now posting temperatures 60-65 for Friday and Saturday this week for Hagerstown MD.
I would ONLY bet monopoly money on it.
Sure do wish the 18z GFS was dependable but alas, it hardly ever is.
Juneau AK broke a record for snowfall for Dec. totaling 80 inches of snow for the month. My type of town. I may consider a winter vacation there soon. I am fed up with looking at bare ground 99% of the time for 3 months. Hagerstown currently sitting on 2 inches of snow for this winter.
Bud i note you are always posting about the lack of precip rain or snow in your area.. is there a meteorlogical reason for that or is is just a prolonged drought? I know the whole mid atlantic is in a long droght, i saw nj actually is in a drought advisory or something to that affect
As far as Hagerstown MD goes, it is mostly location. We are too far east and blocked by the Appalachians to get the full effect of lake effect plus down sloping dries up what limps over the ridges/mountains. And we are too far west to get the full effect of ocean storms. Going back over 150 years when weather records started to be kept in our…Read More
interesting.. thank you
CMC, my model of choice for the next three months, is showing a moderation middle of next week, but then right back to the below average cold rest of the month. Then the fun really begins as the southern jet starts to fire up with the SOI negative.
Currently 7 degrees at Snowshoe after 4 new inches of snow last night. Still snowing. A winter wonderland pictured on the webcams.
GFS on the eighth- gone with the wind.
you lost me @ GFS
So the GFS is showing a major for the Jan8-9 in the mid-Atlantic up to SNE. Too bad it is the GFS. Too bad it is the 18Z. And too bad it is 10 days out. 3 strikes and you are out in this game.
I see Snowshoe is sitting on just 27 inches of snow so far. They average around 160. Tomorrow a high of 9 with 40 mph winds. Sounds like a “cool’ day to be out on the slopes.
Good morning. I see NOAA dropped the temperatures about 10 degrees for Hagerstown across the board all this week and intio the weekend. Another example of models not being able to pick up the cold coming soon enough because the people feeding in the data are warm bias?
A week ago the EURO had a blowtorch for the east in 10-15. Now look At the EURO for next week. Another unseen cold shot from a model that is supposed to have the highest skill score.
Temperature continues to drop at Hagerstown now 28 with still freezing drizzle.
Reading NOAA’s latest discussion, the trend is for the Mid-Atlantic to basically get nothing out of this event. Not even any rain.
Yeah, from the MDL south this map shows nothing even though the Clipper system is supposedly going to dive southeast and emerge off of the Virginia coast according to NOAA.
WWA for Hagerstown. 9 out 10 WWAs in the past 10 winters have turned out next to nothing here. Expecting the same.
It looks like everything is going to bust lose into a winter patten right around the end of the month or first few days of January.
And POOF just like that any hope for some sort of winter storm for the Mid-Atlantic region disappears from the 00Z CMC for this Friday.
