NepaSnow
lol They are going out on a limb. I thought the potential storm was the 15-16th?
second storm
Ok makes more sense
GFS vs the rest,
euro ai says look at this nice trough in the east
give it at least 2 more days
Last Spring was about as wet as they come for Central PA. I think it rained from March to June
CPC Clues for 8-14 ” Almost all of today’s deterministic and ensemble mean guidance shows a cold front moving through the eastern CONUS late week-2, followed by a strong, cold high pressure system. Over the past few cycles of model runs, some deterministic solutions and ensemble members have shown cyclogenesis near or offshore from the…Read More
models always struggle picking up pattern changes, in this case a pattern relaod, things will be changing shortly when the models are all playing catch up
Larry Cosgrove.. ” If you live in the north central or northeastern states, you might not mind the possibility of a warming trend. Problem is, most of the moderation that occurs will be strictly in the southern half of the lower 48 states, and it is unlikely that the true temperature change will occur in the snow-covered, freezing locations…Read More
Larry Cosgrove is one of my favorites LRFs. I’ve been following him since the 80’s. He’s a little too much into the climate change spiel for me but his recent posting this weekend definitely peaked my interest.
Makes since, its only January.
This big warmup of upper 30s to low 40s is much to do about nothing!
Euro just can’t stand not having a trough in the west. Well known bias.
There is a lot of talk (of course, there is) this morning of the winter pattern turning warm based on various model suites of various models. The models are having a very difficult time handling the interaction with shortwaves, thus the highly volatile medium and long-range forecast. That said, I want to point out that all guidance suggests the…Read More
Steve D
That’s good, but am I reading that right? Is that 22 days away?
it’s the ensembles showing the cold each weak till 1/26
hanks
Its been cold December has been one of the coldest in a long time.
This month we have had a few days here where the high never went above average low. Thas a cold day.
I am looking forward to the end of the month so we can see where this December ranks among the coldest Decembers on record.
PV continues to weaken
It has been weakening everyday for last 5 days
Pattern recognition is probably a better forecasting tool then looking at these models spitting out outcomes
32 and still ice in my Part of NEPA this morning
