NepaSnow
The anomaly is slightly positive, but enough to support the other cryographic and stratospheric anomalies to support a sustained weak and disrupted Polar Vortex for this winter.
2013-14, 1985-86, 2000-01 are good analogs for this upcoming winter. I like the potential for a good winter ahead!
from a Met I Follow in NJ
” The latest ENSO data points to a cold-neutral state, rising above the La Niña criteria. However, the CPC is keeping the La Niña advisory as they feel that La Niña conditions will be in place again through the rest of October and November. The reality is that whether ENSO is cold-neutral or La Niña, the atm…Read More
22 this Morning in NEPA Endless mtns near Elk mtn ski resort
Did Henry say, No videos till I come back from Arizona?
“ENSO continues to waver on the cold-neutral/La Niña border this week, with NINO 3.4 cooling a tenth of a degree, but the rest of the ENSO regions remaining unchanged. As I suspected, the subsurface is barely supporting a La Niña signal and is now starting to moderate. This is a sign that the trend toward colder anomalies is likely to end in a f…Read More
” As far as influences on the weather pattern, the monthly average SOI has fallen to a neutral state, as in zero, and the seasonal average isn’t far behind. These signals tell me that the forcing from the tropics is weak. The strongest influence on the SOI is clearly the MJO and not any ENSO evolution. Remember, when ENSO is established, the S…Read More
the whole synopsis from the MEt
What does this mean though I’m confused with what u guys are saying. The weather is going to get colder or what water is getting colder
La Nothing
https://media.invisioncic.com/q319108/monthly_2025_07/Screenshot_20250707_235451_Chrome.jpg.b2e8501abf04cc963bf12f49c66f7a74.jpg
NMME page most models agreeing that ENSO cools to weak La Nina or neutral negative.
38 and windy in Northern wayne county,pa this morning. Great for Hot tub!
Snow anyone, LOL!
2″ overnight into the morning in Wayne County, PA. I know there was more in Northern Wayne County of PA this morning.
Yes
At least we have next winter to look forward to after this dud of a March
works ok for me
We didn’t have a La nina this winter and most likely will not have one next winter as well.
looks likes null phase mjo stuck in 6/7
Ecmf AI from yesterday
It happened about 4 years ago in the middle of April at my house as roofers were working on my roof. 4.5 inches of snow officially for Hagerstown.
We know you said the same thing 3 days ago
Correct and it bears repeating that once in a while it snows in the Hagerstown area in April. Fact.
We might get a little snow. We average .01″ in April since 1970. But all my life we never had any storm like that in April in Central PA. That’s including the 70’s and early 90’s.
Bring it!!
Not happening
Taking orders for 18z
We shall see
hopefully the euro comes on board, the JMA is close as well
