All the Weather All the Time!
Snowman55
Welp! If you missed out on the big blizzard….the 12z GFS says, no worries it’s got more. 6 days away we shall see if the GFS can score another win…
Did you see all the high temps on the GFS the next two weeks? Only a couple days below freezing. Mostly 30’s, 40’s and 50’s. Looks like the rivers and creeks might get pretty high. If any of the GFS is correct.
Any model that is showing accumulating snow south of the MD after Mar 1 is suspect.
The CMC has this also so far.
Yeah whole power outage thing…that’s the ugly side of winter storms and blizzards, I’ll pass on that, Will probably get one of those Generac whole home generators installed this spring if these type of storms are going to be on the table going forward
Best buy i ever made
We lose power all the time. Shouldn’t, but we do. Not as bad as it was before. But anytime we get a bad storm seems like we do. So I got a generator and hook up a transfer panel. It’s nice to have but you have to make sure you keep fuel on hand and don’t let get old. I keep around 15-20 gallons. I use it in my riding mower. With 2 acres it keeps…Read More
Also run it out of gas. Never leave old gas in it. If you can afford it use the no ethanol. If leave gas in any small engine it will gel and get moisture
Generac sales guy says they have a model that runs off of your natural gas line, so I’ll choose that one that way don’t have to worry about buying fuel for it.
Awesome, no Natural gas out our way.
South Central PA, all of our snow came at one time at about 2 inches per hour from like 8pm to 5am this morning we have about 13″ and now there is a massive iceberg at the foot of my driveaway because they plowed our street already…smh,
Said earlier this storm had NJ , New York-Astan and points northward name all over it. The left over snow was for south Central PA
That guy in New York-Astan just shut down the entire city
Winter storm Bad Bunny is really struggling to be a big deal down here in south central PA…more on the grass than anywhere else…
South Central PA rain…I think this is a bust for south Centra l PA and most of MD. This storm has Jersey and NY written all over it. Interior parts of the Mid-Atlantic will see mostly a wind driven light rain.
The storm hasn’t even formed yet
👍🏽
Thanks Henry
Yeah. Kind of figured that. The WSW for our area doesn’t start until 3 PM. Still, this definitely has the look and feel of an I-95 and east storm. I’d take the 3” to 6” that NWS is calling for but I’m a little doubtful.
dude nobody said it would be snowing at 11am in Lancaster. take a nap and wake up around 5 or so and look outside.
It would appear that the NAM model was more accurate on the timing of the snow when it would start falling
969
Wow this NAM 18z is going nuts with this blizzard…I think the 93 blizzard was at a 976mlb this blizzard is showing at a 969mlb on the NAM
Ignore the NAM all winter the model been on the extreme end. Doesn’t mean it wont happen.
Superstorm of 93 was not only intense, but huge.. covered the whole east coast.. This storm doesn’t compare due to size.. intensity possibly..
Blizzard of 2016 Frederick Maryland…the cat and dog were not there ..lol!!!
I remember it well, Snowman. Along with many, many others. 😀 (showing my age)😀
The year we received over 100″ in State College and broke the record for a winter. I think it was 93- 94. Henry would remember. I’ll never forget that winter besides the ones in the 70’s and blizzard or 93. I had to drive back and forth to Penn State every weekday. Seemed like every morning I was driving slow because of snow.
Lol!!!!!!!
The Blizzard of 1978 Feb 6&7 I grew up in Manville Rhode Island. We had 52” of snow. Thunder and Lightning No power for 3 days. Winds were nuts 55-65 mph. Hasn’t been topped yet.
What are you expecting in Frederick with this storm?
South central PA just got updated to a Winter Storm Warning, 12+ inches likely with snow fall rates 1+ inches per hour from 5am Sunday to 2pm Monday
What’s weird is that the NAM model shows it snowing from 9am Sunday morning in PA until 11pm . Monday night…and just 8 inches of snow in south Central PA
Winter storm watch just went up for my neck of the woods. I’m in the Susquehanna Valley.
The difference in the solutions on the models are very interesting. I think the GFS is too extreme and the Euro is not extreme enough. The truth about how this is going to play out is between the two. I don’t think it will be as far east as the GFS is depicting and the snow won’t be as light as the euro is depicting
Suppose the GFS is right? It hasn’t wavered..been locked in to this.. The model has cried wolf all winter…maybe…this time it had the right solution for a week now..🤷🏻♂️
Good point…but it’s almost show time we shall see soon enough
Yah😂😂
Weather Channel taking the strong possiblity of a blizzard stance now
@weathermadness The GFS is the only model still holding onto this storm…Candian is backing off and the Euro deterministic has nothing…Will have to see of the other models change over the next few days or hours
Yah… nws seems to be siding with European models 🤔
Yeah and the 18z GFS isn’t very reliable at all so I guess we will have to wait until the 0z GFS comes out with a similar result as the other models. Really weird because all of the indicies say we shouldn’t even be talking about a storm this weekend. But we shall see, I mean if the GFS keeps this storm on the maps until Saturday night and Sunday…Read More
JB had a detailed explanation as to why the models are in disagreement this close to a possible storm and he is saying that if the GFS can’t get this right this close then the millions of dollars being spent on it by the government is being wasted and it should be shut down.
But you can’t say the GFS is a bust because nothing has happened and it is looking like it never was supposed to happen. God controls the weather and for his purposes.
Facts
Yes I would definitely say so…a lot of money being wasted
I mean I know this screenshot is the euro and I have seen the 6z and I was at weather and a beer last night trying to learn. But my question is why is the precip shield on this storm so tightly packed to the coast even with the storm hugging the coast so tight? I thought the closer the storm gets to the coast the stronger the chances are for rain…Read More
This just looks weird to me
For it to be this close to the coast
GFS always looks weird. Always seems to be high on precip totals.
Hey I mean after years Superbowl I would imagine the Patriots could use a good luck globe…oh waite did they even show up? 😂😂😂😂😂😂🤣🤣🤣🤣
I can’t I sent it off to your quarterback…lol!!!! Once he recovers he’s going to need it. Then I may bet on him…one day…lol!!!
Ending the football chat. This is a weather chat. Sorry Henry but Patriotsfan had it coming for a while. I’ll be ignoring them from here on out no @weathermadness
Bernie Rayno says we have about a 15% chance of all the ingredients coming together to make a blockbuster storm this weekend…that’s about where I’m at for now as well. Doesn’t mean it can’t happen but chances are slim… IMO
Yah and he also says New England again 😂😂😂
@smb4815 Bawston!!! New England! Ha ha ha.
Blockbuster storms are rare on the east coast with maybe only 2 or 3 coming to fruition in any one winter and sometimes we go several winters without seeing one. I think it is going to snow Sunday, 70-80% chance, and Sunday night be how much is yet to be determined. IMO
Very true, I think it will be cold this weekend but as far as a blockbuster blizzard…that’s kind of suspect. Is it possible we could see some light snow and some wind…maybe, but I think that’s about it…we shall see
The last 3 snow events he was wrong. He’s too cocky. Bawston!!! New England his favorite phrases. Who cares what he has to say
@snowman55 Hes about as accurate as your snow globe rolling down a hill.
I just do not see it happening with the indices the way they are.
I swear this guy’s work is about as reliable as a wet paper bag…how do you go back to this… literally overnight? C’mon! I mean at this point your better off just saying you have no clue you just want clicks
LOL yeah I will stick to the CPC and only 7 days out.
Good rule
In all honesty all the models and indices suck. That’s what happens when you put climate change algorithms into the models.
Your probably right…it’s sad but probably right
How many times in the past it’s been The Euro vs The GFS. one would cave to another. Now it’s absolute chaos every 6 hrs it goes from one extreme to another. The whole system is polluted with climate change and the green new deal garbage. Just imagine doing Kyle’s job when things change from one extreme to another. Henry I’m surprised you’re…Read More
