jcrean1995
is there any accountability regarding the accuracy of these models .. Does anyone do post hoc analyses on their predictive validity ? Someone needs to investigate.. The models should be getting better with time … not worse !
MattK wrote a new post
This week’s weather pattern remains active across much of the country, with winter firmly holding on in several regions. A series of fast-moving clipper systems will track through the Great Lakes and into the Northeast, bringing multiple chances for...
Henry, Is this map your latest thoughts on the end of the week storm? It’s a big change from your earlier post and video today, especially for the area from eastern PA to southern New England.
boss315b2e4cd776e
65 and 1.02 of rain so far this AM and it’s still pouring. Expecting 2-3” before it ends tomorrow….more like late spring instead of the dead of winter……..Spring hill, TN (suburban Nashville.
wxdadstanton
19 in the Wilmington NC area at 0700 Record was 17
This week’s weather will be shaped by a steady parade of clipper systems dropping out of Canada and sweeping through the Plains, Midwest, Great Lakes, and eventually the Northeast. The first clipper arrives Sunday, spreading snow across the Plains...
duckpinmaster
T-15 hours and counting to the beginning of Meteorological Winter.
Snowman55
Wow…I’ll believe it when I’m snow blowing it…wow
00Z GFS showing two major winter storms for the Mid-Atlantic in the next 10 days. Lets see how much of this changes on the 12 hour runs by the end of the upcoming weekend. Everyone should know by now any 6-hour run of any model is not to be trusted more than a couple of days from an event. Not enough new data on 6-hour runs to make a definitive…Read More
Yep but people can’t wait and post them. See it here all the time like its a race to post it first.
Same and the storm track still isn’t written in stone.
landzscaper
Waking up weather north Georgia mountains… ahhh
bpshank
29 degrees this morning in The Shenandoah Valley of Virginia.
Wlj58
Future to be Hurricane Imelda may possibly bring needed remnant rain (2-3”+) Mon. Evening into Wed. AM for the parched central Shenandoah Valley of Va. Worried a bit for the mountains of Western NC. Decent model consensus at the moment. We’ll see how accurate.
Suburban Nashville (Spring Hill): 2.5” rain since Sunday….35-40 mph winds yesterday afternoon in a storm. 2-4” more on the way today and tomorrow. My grass is already growing exponentially to spite me, but great drought buster, nonetheless!
We need some substantial rains in VA’s Shenandoah valley and very soon. We will have wild fire problems again when leaves start shedding into tinder dry woodlands. We had some very light precip yesterday and maybe some scattered showers might appear mid next week. It’s critical.
The I-81 corridor from about Winchester up to Greencastle has been especially dry.
canbart99
Thought this was a pretty cool cloud formation this morning.
Man that’s cool!!
looks like a Fallstreak
Nice! I never knew what a FallStreak was till now, Thanks.
Ray from Somerset Co PA – Laurel Highlands
70 this morning from Kill Devil Hills NC. wind is down to 10 mph and todays high should be around 78. I don’t see any red flags out yet
davidwlehning
Here is a photo of the clouds at sunrise this morning.
Joel- Sussex county De.
55 degrees this morning. could hit upper 40’s in places tomorrow. incredible this far south for Labor Day.
Live surf cameras (while there is power!) for many NC beaches including the OBX at surfchex.com
Not much to see yet quite yet but later today …
Also available is a live view from Frying Pan Tower located offshore of Cape Fear, NC https://explore.org/livecams/frying-pan/frying-pan-cam
…So sorry I cannot make it tonight, Henry! I’m in Boise this week, helping my daughter move!
A Mandatory Evacuation has been issued for Hatteras Island as follows. All of Hatteras Island, including Rodanthe, Waves, Salvo, Avon, Buxton, Frisco, and Hatteras.
Maybe off the beaches but that might be a little too much to Evacuate.
https://www.darenc.gov/Home/Components/News/News/9169/1756
Good call Henry! Here in the Cape Fear region (NC) we have something spinning up just off the eastern coastline. NE winds are getting brisk. NHC has a yellow ‘X’ with a 30% chance for development next week. Track is forecast to head off to the ENE and away from the mainland, but surf will be up at Wrightsville Beach.
